Feasibility of Budget for Acquisition of Two Joint Support Ships

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Feasibility of Budget for Acquisition of Two Joint Support Ships

Journal of Cost Analysis and Parametrics

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The mandate of the Parliamentary Budget Officer is to provide independent analysis to Parliament on the state of the nation’s finances, the government’s estimates, and trends in the Canadian economy, and, upon request from a committee or parliamentarian, to estimate the financial cost of any proposal for matters over which Parliament has jurisdiction. The PBO received requests from the Member from St John’s East and the Member from Scarborough-Guildwood to undertake an independent cost assessment of the Joint Support Ship project. This report assesses the feasibility of replacing Canada’s current Auxiliary Oiler Replenishment ships with two Joint Support Ships within the allocated funding envelope. The cost estimates and observations presented in this report represent a preliminary set of data for discussion and may change subject to the provision of detailed financial and non-financial data to the Parliamentary Budget Officer by the Department of National Defence, Public Works, and Government Services Canada, and the shipyards. The cost estimates included reflect a point-in-time set of observations based on limited and high-level data obtained from a variety of sources. These high-level cost estimates and observations are neither to be viewed as conclusions in relation to the policy merits of the legislation nor as a view to future costs.


Erin K. Barkel is a Financial Analyst on the Expenditure and Revenue Analysis team at the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) in Canada. Since joining the PBO, her work has included analyses of government spending plans and expenditures, as well as the costing of defence acquisitions. Prior to joining the PBO, Erin was a Policy Analyst at the Treasury Board Secretariat, providing policy advice on investment plans and projects undertaken by government departments in the social and cultural portfolio. She has also worked in healthcare as a Patient Safety Specialist, completed an internship at PRIO, and published research on quality assurance for policing. Erin holds a BASc in Industrial Engineering from the University of Toronto and a MBA from the Ted Rogers School of Management at Ryerson University (Toronto). She is (slowly) pursuing a PhD in Management at the Sprott School of Business at Carleton University (Ottawa).

Tolga R. Yalkin is an Adjunct Professor at the University of Ottawa, where he teaches constitutional law, civil procedure, private international law, and legal writing. Before coming to work with the University of Ottawa, Mr. Yalkin served as a Retained Lecturer in Constitutional Law at the University of Oxford. His research interests are diverse, covering a wide range of legal and economic issues. He is particularly active in the fields of constitutional, international, criminal, and immigration law. Mr. Yalkin also pursues his diverse interests through his work with the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO). He holds the position of Senior Financial Advisor-Analyst on the Expenditure and Revenue Analysis team. His work with the PBO focuses largely on analysis of defence and criminal justice costs. In this capacity, he generated estimates and reports on the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter acquisition for the Royal Canadian Air Force and the Joint Support Ship acquisition for the Royal Canadian Navy. Mr. Yalkin also provides strategic and policy advice, and he recently participated in the 5th Annual Meeting of OECD Parliamentary Budget Officials and Independent Fiscal Institutions, where he presented on Independent Financial Institutions and Access to Information. Mr. Yalkin began his university career at the University of British Columbia where he completed an Honours Bachelor of Commerce in Business and Managerial Economics. Following graduation, he moved to Australia where he received his LLB from the University of Sydney, and was admitted to the Supreme Court of New South Wales. While in Australia he was employed by the office of the Legal Services Commissioner and by Clayton Utz, where he worked primarily in banking and financial regulation. After leaving Australia, Mr. Yalkin pursued graduate studies at Oxford University. He received both a BCL and an MPhil in Law, graduating with distinction from both programs.