2012-RSK14

2012-RSK14

The Unseen: Statistical Inference with Limited Data Risk Track RSK14_Presentation_TheUnseen-StatisticalInterferencewithLimitedData_VanAtta RSK14_Paper_TheUnseen-StatisticalInterferencewithLimitedData-VanAtta Abstract: “Objective measurements of probability are often unavailable, and most significant choices under risk…

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2012-RSK13

2012-RSK13

Applying the Pareto Principle to Distribution Assignment in Cost Risk and Uncertainty Analysis Risk Track RSK13_Presentation_ApplyingParetoPrincipletoDistAssignmentinCostRiskandUncertAnalysis_Glenn RSK13_Paper_ApplyingParetoPrincipletoDistAssignmentinCostRiskandUncertAnalysis_Glenn Abstract: Significant effort and statistical knowledge is required…

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2012-RSK12

2012-RSK12

Inflation Cost Risk Analysis to Reduce Risks in Budgeting Risk Track RSK12_Presentation_InflationCostRiskAnalysistoReduceRisksinBudgeting_DeCarlo RSK12_Paper_InflationCostRiskAnalysistoReduceRisksinBudgeting_DeCarlo Abstract: For any project there is a danger of unanticipated cost growth…

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2012-RSK10

2012-RSK10

Diagnosing the Top Level Coefficient of Variation: An Alternative Approach Risk Track RSK10_Paper_DiagnosingTopLevelCoeffofVariation-AnAlternativeApproach_Andelin RSK10_Presentation_DiagnosingtheTopLevelCV-AnAlternativeApproach_Andelin Abstract: The coefficient of variation (CV), defined as the standard deviation…

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2012-RSK08

2012-RSK08

Real Data, Real Uncertainty Risk Track RSK08_Presentation_RealDataRealUncertainty_Smith Abstract: Central to any cost risk analysis and model are the uncertainty distributions assigned to point estimates. Ideally,…

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2012-RSK06

2012-RSK06

Enhanced Scenario-Based Method for Cost Risk Analysis: Theory, Application, and Implementation Risk Track RSK06_Update_eSBM for Cost Risk Analysis_Theory_Application_Implementation RSK06_Presentation_EnhancedScenarioBasedMethodforCostRiskAnalysis_Flynn RSK06_Paper_EnhancedScenarioBasedMethodofCostRiskAnalysis_Flynn Abstract: There is a growing…

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2012-RSK05

2012-RSK05

SAR Data Analysis, CV Benchmarks, and the Updated NCCA S-Curve Tool Risk Track RSK05_Presentation_SARDataAnalysisCVBenchmarksandUpdatedNCCASCurveTool_Lee Abstract: To support the development of better probabilistic cost estimates, the…

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2012-RSK04

2012-RSK04

A Systematic Approach for Empirical Sensitivity Analysis on Monte Carlo Models Risk Track RSK04_Presentation_SystematicApproachforEmpiricalSensitivityAnalysisonMonteCarloCost_Pitlyk Abstract: A key component of risk analysis is the sensitivity analysis…

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2012-RSK03

2012-RSK03

Fitting Absolute Distributions to Limited Data Risk Track RSK03_Presentation_FittingAbsoluteDisttoLimitedData_Boswell Abstract: The choice of probability distributions is a critical component for cost risk and uncertainty modeling….

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2012-RSK02

2012-RSK02

Using Method of Moments in Schedule Risk Analysis Risk Track RSK02_Paper_MethodofMomentsinScheduleRiskAnalysis_Covert RSK02_Presentation_UsingMethodofMomentsinSchedRiskAnalysis_Covert Abstract: A program schedule is a critical tool of program management. Program schedules…

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