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X-WR-CALDESC:Events for International Cost Estimating and Analysis Association
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DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20220607
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20220610
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SUMMARY:Project Controls Expo Virtual
DESCRIPTION:Last year we celebrated our 2nd edition of Project Controls Expo Virtual and we were extremely proud to welcome delegates\, speakers and exhibition stands from across the world. We are pleased to announce that the 3rd edition of Project Controls Expo Virtual will be happening over three days\, from 7-9 June 2022. Replicating last year’s success\, we will bring you the same high-quality networking and learning opportunities. We will be creating an environment as close as possible to the physical Expo experience\, in a digital and interactive format. This bespoke platform offers the chance to engage and interact with global partners and delegates.
URL:https://www.iceaaonline.com/calendar/project-controls-expo-virtual-2/
LOCATION:Virtual Conference Call
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20220609T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20220609T130000
DTSTAMP:20220406T140825Z
CREATED:20220406T140439Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20220406T140825Z
UID:17147-1654776000-1654779600@www.iceaaonline.com
SUMMARY:OEM COG Webinar: Inflation and Escalation
DESCRIPTION:Inflation and Escalation\nRSVP at https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZYuduuurDMiG9N74RiMvKKaFTrFwSXd0wbC \nOSD CAPE reports directly to the Secretary and Deputy Secretary of Defense and serves as an independent source of unbiased analysis and decision support. They provide the Department with timely\, insightful\, and unbiased analysis on resource allocation and cost estimation problems to deliver the optimum portfolio of military capabilities through efficient and effective use of each taxpayer dollar. \nThis presentation will provide an overview of CAPE’s new Inflation and Escalation Handbook. The new version of the handbook addresses “constant price” and “real price change” and provides step-by-step instructions and quick-reference flowcharts to help cost estimators apply inflation and escalation correctly\, consistently\, and with fewer existential crises (we’ve all been there!). For those wishing to review the handbook in advance of the meeting\, it is available under Public Reports on the CAPE website: https://www.cape.osd.mil/ \nSpeaker: Erica Walters\nMs. Erica Walters is an operations research analyst with the Land and Naval Warfare Cost Analysis Division for the Office of the Director\, Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation (CAPE)\, Office of the Secretary of Defense in the Pentagon. In addition to completing cost estimates on ship programs\, she is CAPE’s cost policy lead and subject matter expert on inflation and escalation. She is responsible for updating the DoDM 5000.04 (CSDR manual)\, DoDI 5000.73 (cost analysis guidance and procedures)\, inflation and escalation handbook\, and other CAPE-owned policy and guidance. She has worked at CAPE for three years\, and previously worked for six years at the Air Force Cost Analysis Agency. She has a master’s degree in security studies from Georgetown University and a bachelor’s degree in biology from George Washington University.
URL:https://www.iceaaonline.com/calendar/oemcog060922/
LOCATION:VA
ORGANIZER;CN="ICEAA":MAILTO:iceaa@iceaaonline.org
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20220615T130000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20220615T140000
DTSTAMP:20220531T151724Z
CREATED:20220531T140758Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20220531T151724Z
UID:17313-1655298000-1655301600@www.iceaaonline.com
SUMMARY:Galorath Presents: Black Swans
DESCRIPTION:Galorath Presents: \nBlack Swan Events: Measuring and Managing Risk for Rare Events and Economic Uncertainty\nJune 15\, 2022\n10:00-11:00am PDT • 1:00-2:00pm EDT \n \nDuring this webinar\, you’ll learn about:\n• Predicting extreme events such as unknown unknowns in the aggregate using historical data.\n• Black swan events\, however\, cannot be predicted in advance\, even though in hindsight they may seem to have been foreseeable.\n• Even though black swan events cannot be predicted\, learn how they can be managed.\n• IT risk can be quantified. Many of the extreme examples of IT cost growth and schedule delays are not black swans\, but can be predicted in advance by credible analytical techniques. \nRisk management for Black Swans\, or rare events that have significant negative consequences\, is challenging. \nPredicting the occurrence of such events is difficult and sometimes impossible. For many events with extreme consequences\, there is no typical occurrence. Such phenomena will likely have a few relatively mild outcomes\, followed by an extreme one that breaks all previous records. \nCOVID-19 is a prime example of this phenomenon. The world had not seen such a widespread and deadly pandemic since the great influenza outbreak 100 years ago. The use of traditional statistical methods is not useful in managing risk in these situations. Fat-tailed phenomena do not typically have a well-defined population variance and in many cases not even a population mean! The commonly used ‘normal’ distribution is not applicable in such cases. In this presentation\, the use of historical data for managing the risk of extreme events is discussed. \nDespite its challenges\, much can be leveraged from historical experience in such cases. The use of extreme value theory to the measurement and management of extreme risks is discussed. A key component of many extreme events\, such as pandemics\, is exponential growth. The importance of swift action to cut the fat tail of extreme events is emphasized. A connection with the development phase of defense projects is discussed. \nWith many examples of extreme cost growth\, the management of risk for national security projects is a tough problem. The use of logistic regression to identify candidates for extreme cost growth is one possible way to help identify potential problem programs before they occur. We discuss the application of extreme value theory\, logistic regression\, and the importance in cutting the fat tail through mitigation in the risk management of defense projects. \nPresented by Dr. Christian B. Smart \nDr. Smart has a Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics\, with more than 20 years of experience with the application of predictive analytics\, machine learning\, and risk management to defense and aerospace programs. Solving for Project Risk Management: Understanding the Critical Role of Uncertainty in Project Management is his first book. Dr. Smart is the 2021 recipient of the Frank Freiman Lifetime Achievement Award from ICEAA. \nRSVP at https://galorath.com/webinars/black-swan-events/
URL:https://www.iceaaonline.com/calendar/techshowcase061522/
LOCATION:VA
END:VEVENT
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20220629T120000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20220629T130000
DTSTAMP:20220615T142716Z
CREATED:20220615T140121Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20220615T142716Z
UID:17343-1656504000-1656507600@www.iceaaonline.com
SUMMARY:Leveling Up Your Cost Analysis with Data Science Tools
DESCRIPTION: \nLeveling Up Your Cost Analysis with Data Science Tools\nData is more abundant now than ever before. However\, the majority of analysts in the cost community still use traditional methods and are not leveraging the power of modern data science tools. Many are overwhelmed by the different data sources\, platforms and tools available and unsure where to invest their time and resources. How can we leverage the full power of data science and utilize analytic techniques such as automation\, machine learning\, interactive dashboards and more? How can we transform our Excel (or Excel-like) based processes in order to streamline results and make our analysts significantly more efficient? \nIt’s easier than you might think. This presentation will examine some practical steps that we can take in order to vastly improve our current processes and start to shift the cost community into the modern data science era. The authors will demonstrate the innovative ways that Air Force Cost Analysis Agency (AFCAA) is utilizing a cloud-based platform and various data science tools to transform our entire process from data ingestion/storage to end products and even end-to-end cost modeling with very little or no programming required! \nSpeakers: \nSarah Green is an Operations Research Analyst at the Air Force Cost Analysis Agency\, currently leading AFCAA’s efforts to integrate data science tools and methods with more traditional cost estimating processes and techniques. She has worked in the cost estimating field for over 15 years\, supporting a variety of agencies including the Air Force\, Space Force\, Navy and NATO. Sarah has a Masters in Systems Engineering and a Bachelors in Mathematics. \nCapt Dakotah W. Hogan\, CCEA® is an active duty Air Force officer assigned to the Air Force Cost Analysis Agency. His professional experience includes development and production cost estimating and analysis on the KC-46\, F-35\, and F-22 programs. Capt Hogan holds a Master of Science in Cost Analysis and a Data Analytics certificate from the Air Force Institute of Technology as well as a Bachelor of Science in Economics from the U.S. Air Force Academy. \nJacob Share is an Operations Research Analyst at the Air Force Cost Analysis Agency where he builds life-cycle cost estimates for UAV programs. While in government\, he has developed Python models to streamline cost estimating and data analysis processes. Jacob has a bachelor’s degree from Tufts University. \nRSVP online: https://us02web.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZ0tc-qgrzItGNZSpDv-TXTphOzly6iaq0Gt
URL:https://www.iceaaonline.com/calendar/062922wcac/
LOCATION:VA
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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20220630T130000
DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20220630T140000
DTSTAMP:20220630T190628Z
CREATED:20220609T134213Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20220630T190628Z
UID:17327-1656594000-1656597600@www.iceaaonline.com
SUMMARY:Industry 4.0: The Digital Transformation Revolution
DESCRIPTION:ICEAA South Central Region 6 All Hands Virtual Meeting:\nIndustry 4.0: The Digital Transformation Revolution\nDigital Engineering…the Digital Thread…Advanced Manufacturing…Industry 4.0. There is no shortage of buzzwords surrounding Digital Transformation\, which the U.S. Defense Department classifies as one of its highest priorities. But what exactly does “digital transformation” mean? And more importantly\, what does it mean to cost estimators and analysts? \nYou are invited to an interactive engagement on digital transformation and its impacts hosted by ICEAA Region 6. Our guest is Dr. Don Kinard\, Senior Fellow at Lockheed Martin Aeronautics. Dr. Kinard is one of the nation’s foremost experts on digital transformation and was named in 2018 as one of Smart Industry’s 50 leaders in digital transformation. He’ll explain why Industry 4.0\, is the next industrial revolution\, and what the revolution of data means to engineering and production. It will be your opportunity to ask questions about how these changes will impact how we build and design — and ultimately how we estimate the cost of these products. \nAttending this webinar counts as 1 hour of training or 0.1 points towards your ICEAA CCEA® recertification. \nDownload slides (PDF)
URL:https://www.iceaaonline.com/calendar/063022region6/
LOCATION:VA
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