2012-PAR11

Understanding and Measuring the Impact of Design and Systems Engineering Decisions on Affordability

Parametrics Track

PAR11_Presentation_UnderstandingMeasuringImpactofDesignandSysEngineeringDecisionsonAffordability_Jasnoff

Abstract:

Methodologies for understanding and measuring the impact of design and systems engineering decisions on affordability

In today’s data driven cost estimating environment, it is critical to understand the impact of design and systems engineering decisions on cost. It is also important to leverage actual cost data in developing data-driven Cost Estimating Relationships (CERs) that relate engineering design and performance parameters to cost. In addition, the ability to conduct sensitivity analysis on not only the CER, but on the entire system estimated is needed to understand the full impact on Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. This paper discusses a methodology of how data driven cost estimating relationships (CERs) are incorporated into a parametric cost model. Using a satellite example we will discuss how to create libraries of data-driven CERs for future projects.

These CERs are “white box” and auditable both in terms of the trend line equation and underlying data points. In addition to developing data-driven CERs, engineers also need the ability to visualize the sensitivity of the CERs to changes in design and performance parameters.

Using new interfaces between systems engineering and cost estimating tools, this presentation will demonstrate how sensitivity analysis for custom developed CERs can easily be generated based on underlying databases.

Author:

Zachary Jasnoff
PRICE Systems, LLC
Zachary Jasnoff is a Solutions Architect Director for PRICE Systems, LLC. Headquartered in Mt. Laurel, New Jersey, PRICE Systems provides advanced modeling software and expert professional services to government agencies and corporations throughout the United States and around the globe.
Mr. Jasnoff has over 25 years experience in Life Cycle Cost estimating on a wide range of defense programs and is an acknowledged expert in Affordability Management. Mr. Jasnoff began his career at the United States Government Accountability Office (GAO) where he was responsible for independent audits and investigations of defense acquisition programs.
Mr. Jasnoff then broadened his career in parametric lifecycle estimating while serving in various positions at Boeing, PRICE Systems (mid-1990’s) and Lockheed-Martin. At Lockheed-Martin he was responsible for managing the Affordability Analysis group, and was the “Cost as an Independent Variable” (CAIV) author for the Littoral Combat Ship Proposal. He has won several awards from the International Society of Parametric Analysts (ISPA) for various presentations on CAIV and advanced estimating methodologies.
Prior to joining PRICE Systems, Mr. Jasnoff served as Vice President/Director of Business Resiliency at JPMorganChase. In this position, Mr. Jasnoff managed a staff responsible for developing new models for measuring resiliency, value-at-risk and Total Cost of Ownership.
Mr. Jasnoff is also a firm believer in lifelong learning and, in August 2006, received his M.S.E in Technology Management from Penn Engineering and The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. While at Wharton, Mr. Jasnoff was part of a team that developed intellectual property for the financial sector in Business Resiliency and Risk Management. He also holds an M.B.A from American University and B.A. from Villanova University.